US Trade Representative rules out new investment push before Trump-Xi summit

US President Donald Trump plans to visit Beijing on May 14-15 for a summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, delayed from late March due to the US war with Iran. Preparatory talks will continue virtually, with no in-person pre-summit visits or push to expand Chinese investment in the US, according to US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer. Negotiators have agreed on summit outcomes including a proposed Board of Trade for managed trade.

The meeting aims to address trade imbalances, tariffs, rare earth supplies, and semiconductor exports amid ongoing US-China tensions. It could set a floor for bilateral relations while Washington manages its Iran conflict, though experts differ on prospects for revived Chinese investment in the US. Outcomes may influence global trade stability and regional dynamics in Asia.

US Perspective

Preparatory talks remain virtual with no new investment push before the summit, prioritizing substantial tariffs and access to rare earths. A Board of Trade would enable managed trade to balance purchases. The summit seeks stability while addressing key concerns like semiconductors.

Chinese Perspective

The summit offers chances to de-escalate tensions through increased investment in non-sensitive US sectors and US goods purchases in exchange for eased semiconductor restrictions. Beijing proposes linking rare earth supplies to US tariff levels as a circuit-breaker. It eyes a predictable floor in relations amid US focus on Iran.

Expert Optimism

The Trump-Xi summit could lead to more Chinese investments in the US, similar to past Japanese investments. A board of investment is a promising idea needing consensus. Long-term benefits exist for massive Chinese capital inflows.

Expert Pessimism

Chinese investment in the US is unlikely to recover even with a bilateral deal at the summit. The mid-2010s collapse persists due to deep restrictions and tensions. Virtual talks signal limited pre-summit progress.

  • Ambassador Jamieson Greer became the 20th US Trade Representative in February 2025, leading negotiations during this critical Trump-Xi summit period.
  • China controls a substantial portion of global rare earth mineral production, giving it significant leverage in semiconductor and defense technology supply chains.
  • The proposed Board of Trade mechanism mirrors historical trade management structures used in previous US-China negotiations to create predictable commercial frameworks.

US-Iran Ceasefire War

The United States launched military strikes against Iran on June 26, 2026, in response to a drone attack on a commercial cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz, calling it a "foolish violation" of the 60-day ceasefire agreement signed just days earlier[2][4][14].

US-Iran Ceasefire War— full background & timeline
US Trade Representative rules out new investment push before Trump-Xi summit | Implica